Terms of Service

Last updated: 2026-04-17

Not financial advice

Predictive produces probabilities. Probabilities are not recommendations. Anything you do with them is your responsibility.

Don't submit questions that involve minors, target specific individuals for harm, or attempt to manipulate elections or markets. We refuse and log.

This is early. Things break. Resolution dates may shift. Probabilities may be wrong. The point of the calibration page is to show how wrong.