Pricing
Free until we've earned the right to charge.
A prediction engine's worth is its calibration. Until our track record shows 50+ resolved predictions with a Brier score that beats naive baselines, paid tiers stay closed. The day we cross the threshold, Pro and API turn on.
Free
ActiveThe model, available.
- 10 predictions per day
- Public + private predictions
- Causal chain on every prediction
- Personal Brier score
- Full calibration page access
Pro
Launches at N=50For active forecasters.
- Unlimited predictions
- Email + push alerts on >5% probability shifts
- Personal calibration page (your own track record, public)
- Full prediction history export (CSV / JSON)
- Priority engine compute
API
Launches at N=50For builders and analysts.
- Programmatic POST /api/predict
- Webhooks on probability shifts
- Usage-based pricing ($0.05–0.50 / prediction)
- Higher rate limits, no daily cap
- Priority support
Why this order
We launched the calibration page before the paywall on purpose. The page IS the product's pitch: when we say 70%, how often are we right? Until that chart looks credible, charging is selling something unproven — which violates the rule we hold ourselves to: truth or delete.
Free tier stays free indefinitely. Even after Pro launches, the 10-per-day cap covers ~99% of real human use. Pro is for the unusual cases — heavy forecasters, journalists, builders sharing public predictions on a schedule.